Super Bowl XLV: Will History Repeat Itself?

Posted: February 6, 2011 by Josh Tannenbaum in Uncategorized

Super Bowl XLV is upon us and it involves a high powered matchup between two teams with extensive history. The Steelers, backed by their shutdown 3-4 defense, are in search of their 7th Super Bowl title, while the Packers, run by Aaron Rodgers and a very talented offense, are looking to deliver number 4 to Green Bay.

Despite having to win two “gotta have it” games at the end of the regular season and sneaking in as a 6 seed, the Packers come into the Super Bowl against two-time Super Bowl Champion Ben Roethlisberger and the 2-seed Steelers as 2.5-point favorites. The Pack might be considered the hottest team in the league, but the last thing they need is for the Steelers to play with a chip on their shoulders.

We’ve seen this scenario before. A hot, relatively unexperienced team comes into the Super Bowl to face a seasoned squad that’s been there before.

Look familiar?

While Super Bowl XLV is not believed to be nearly as one-sided as the matchup between the Giants and the Patriots in Super Bowl XLII, I do see similarities. Like the Packers, the Giants were a wildcard team that got hot at the right time, winning all 3 playoff games en route the Super Bowl ON THE ROAD. Not easy to do.

The Patriots were arguably the best team of all time the year they went 18-0 before losing to the Giants, and while I don’t put the 2010 Steelers on that level, they too have similarities. Let’s start with the quarterbacks. Big Ben might not be an elite QB in this league, but the guy is a gamer (sexual assault or no sexual assault). Brady came into Super Bowl having already won 3 rings, and Roethlisberger comes into the game today having already won 2. Both teams also have veteran leaders on the defensive side of the football. Instead of Richard Seymour, Rodney Harrison, and Tedy Bruschi for the Patriots, you’ll see Troy Polamalu, James Harrison, and Ike Taylor for Pittsburgh.

The key to the game? If the Packers D can step up and make stops, I don’t think there’s a defense in the universe that can stop Aaron Rodgers from scoring points if he is on. Watch out for a big play on the defensive side of the ball from Charles Woodson, Tramon Williams, or Sam Shields. With absolutely no stock in the spread (because I believe the Steelers should be favored), I say the Packers win a hard-fought battle 20-16.


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